Northern Ireland Broad Economy Sales and Exports Statistics: Trade in Goods and Services Results 2020

Date Published: 06 April 2022
Geographical Area: Northern Ireland
Theme: Economy
Frequency: Annual

 

Key Points

In December 2021 NISRA published its Broad Economy Sales and Exports Statistics (BESES) results relating to the sales of local businesses’ during 2020 to markets both within and outside Northern Ireland. The latest publication provides further disaggregation of these results into the value of goods and services sold and also provides information on the value of goods and services purchased by NI businesses.

  • Total sales of goods were estimated to be worth £44.7 billion in 2020, a decrease of 7.4% (£3.6 billion) over the year. Total goods represented 66.6% of total sales in 2020.

  • Sales of services represented 33.4% of total sales in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £22.4 billion. Sales of services decreased by 2.9% over the year (£0.7 billion).

  • Exports of goods were estimated to be worth £7.9 billion in 2020, a decrease of 14.0% (£1.3 billion). Exports of goods represented 77.3% of all exports sales.

  • Exports of services represented 22.7% of total export sales in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £2.3 billion. Exports of services decreased by 7.5% (£0.2 billion) over the year.

  • Total purchases of goods represented 77.4% of total purchases in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £33.6 billion. Purchases of goods decreased by 9.1% (£3.3 billion) over the year.

  • Total purchases of services represented 22.6% of total purchases in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £9.8 billion. Purchases of services increased by 0.8% over the year (£0.1 billion).

  • Imports of goods were estimated to be worth £6.3 billion in 2020, a decrease of 8.0% (£0.5 billion). Imports of goods represented 88.2% of all imports.

  • Imports of services represented 11.8% of total imports in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £0.8 billion. Imports of services increased by 6.2% (£49 million) over the year.

  • Exports of goods and services combined were worth £10.3 billion, while imports of goods and services combined were worth £7.1 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of £3.2 billion.

     

     

1 Introduction and Context

 

2 Summary and Commentary - Exports

2.1 Sales and Exports Performance

Total sales by companies in Northern Ireland (NI) were estimated to be worth £67.1 billion in 2020. This represents a decrease of 6.0% (£4.3 billion) over the year and compares to a previous annual increase of 3.7% in 2019.

In 2020, 31.6% of total sales were made to customers outside NI (external sales). This equated to £21.2 billion, representing a decrease of 6.2% (£1.4 billion) over the year.

Sales outside the UK (exports) were estimated to be worth £10.3 billion in 2020. This represented a decrease of 12.6% over the year, and follows an increase in the previous period (2018 – 2019) of 0.8%.

Figure 1 shows the values of total sales, and their broad destinations over the 9 year period (2011 to 2020). The downturn in total sales in 2020 and the concomitant effect on sales to each broad destination can be seen clearly. The vast majority of businesses reported that the decrease in total sales in 2020 was as a result of the impact of COVID-19 on business operations.

 

Figure 1: Sales by broad destination, 2011 - 2020 (£ billions)

 

Figure 2: Sales of Goods and Services by Broad Destination, 2020 (£ billions)

 

2.2 Sale of Goods and Services over Time


Total Sales

Total sales by Northern Ireland businesses were estimated to be worth £67.1 billion in 2020. This comprised sales of goods estimated to be worth £44.7 billion and sales of services estimated to be worth £22.4 billion.

Sales of goods (£44.7 billion) represented two thirds (66.6%) of total sales in 2020 and decreased by 7.4% over the year (£3.6 billion), compared to an increase of 4.1% the previous year.

Sales of services (£22.4 billion) represented 33.4% of total sales in 2020 and decreased by 2.9% over the year (£0.7 billion), compared to an increase of 2.9% the previous year. Figures 3 – 5 show the values of total sales, external sales and export sales of goods and services over the 9 year period (2011 – 2020).

Over the period 2011 – 2019, total sales have increased. The level of total sales of goods has remained relatively constant while sales of services have increased steadily, driving the increasing levels of total sales. The fall in total sales in 2020 was mostly driven by falling sales in goods.

 

Figure 3: Total Sales of Goods and Services, 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)

 

External Sales

Total external sales were estimated to be worth £21.2 billion in 2020. This comprised external sales of goods estimated to be worth £14.6 billion and external sales of services estimated to be worth £6.6 billion.

External sales of goods by Northern Ireland companies (£14.6 billion) represented 68.9% of all external sales in 2020 which represents a decrease of 9.3% over the year (£1.5 billion) compared to an increase the previous year of 3.1%. .

External sales of services (£6.6 billion) in 2020 represented 31.1% of all external sales over the year which represents an increase of 1.4% (£0.1 billion) over the year and compares to a decrease of 1.9% in 2019.

Over the period 2011 – 2019, external sales of goods peaked in 2016, falling in the next two years before recovering slightly in 2019. External sales of services have generally been increasing each year, partly offsetting the losses in external sale of goods in 2017 and 2018. The fall in external sales in 2020 was driven by falling sales in goods.

 

Figure 4: External Sales of Goods and Services, 2011 - 2020 (£ billions)

 

Exports

Total exports were estimated to be worth £10.3 billion in 2020. This comprised exports of goods estimated to be worth £7.9 billion and exports of services estimated to be worth £2.3 billion.

Total exports of goods (£7.9 billion) represented 77.3% of all exports in 2020 and represents a decrease of 14.0% (£1.3 billion) over the year and compares to an increase of 1.5% in 2019.

Exports of services (£2.3 billion) represented 22.7% of total export sales in 2020 and decreased by 7.5% (£0.2 billion) over the year compared to a decrease of 1.7% (£43 million) the previous year.

Over the period 2011 – 2019, the trend in total exports has been variable, peaking at just under £12 billion in 2018 and 2019 driven by increases in both the export of goods and the export of services. The fall in total exports in 2020 was mostly driven by falling exports of goods.

 

Figure 5: Exports of Goods and Services, 2011 - 2020 (£ billions)

 

2.3 Analysis by Destination

Figure 6 shows the proportion of broad destination sales accounted for by goods and services. Sales of goods account for the largest proportion of sales within each broad destination in 2020. Goods account for 65.6% of total Northern Ireland sales, compared to 60.9% of GB sales, 74.8% of Ireland sales, 83.7% of Rest of Europe sales and 76.3% of all Rest of World sales. Sales of goods account for 77.3% of all export sales and 68.9% of all external sales.

For sales of services it is apparent that proximity to Northern Ireland is an influencing factor, with services accounting for 34.4% of total sales in Northern Ireland, 39.1% of all Great Britain sales and 22.7% of all exports.

 

Figure 6: Goods and Services, as a proportion of sales, to each destination, 2020

 

Figure 7 shows the proportion of total sales, sales of goods and sales of services sold to Northern Ireland, Great Britain and those sold as exports. It is apparent that the highest proportion of service sales occurs internally, with 70.5% of all service sales being made within Northern Ireland. Outside of Northern Ireland, the sale of services to GB was higher than the sales of services outside the UK (i.e. Exports), accounting for 19.1% and 10.4% of the total sale of services respectively.

67.3% of all sales of goods occur within Northern Ireland. However, in contrast to the position regarding the sale of services, the share of goods sold in GB (14.9%) is less than those exported outside of the UK (17.8%).

 

Figure 7: Proportion of the sale of Goods and Services to each destination, 2020

 

2.4 Analysis by Industry Section

External sales to markets outside Northern Ireland are comprised of sales to GB plus the value of exports combined. Figures 8 – 10 show the value, trends and proportion of external sales of goods and services over the year. In 2020, the largest proportion of external sales of goods was from the Manufacturing sector (Section C) which made up 67.1% (£9.8 billion) of all external sales of goods. External sales of goods by businesses in the Manufacturing sector decreased by £0.9 billion (8.7%) over the year.

The next largest sector for external sales of goods was the Services sector1, with 28.3% (£4.1 billion) of external sales of goods. External sales of goods in this sector decreased by £0.2 billion (4.9%).

The Construction sector (Section F) saw the next largest proportion of external sales of goods (2.4% or £0.4 billion) while the Other Production & Agriculture2 sections represented just 2.1% (or £0.3 billion) of external sales of goods.

 

Figure 8: External sales of goods and services by industry section, 2020 (£ millions)

 

The largest proportion of external sales of services was, not surprisingly, from the Services sector which made up 59.8% (£3.9 billion) of all external sales of services. Such activity saw a decrease of £0.1 billion (3.4%) between 2019 and 2020.

The next largest sector for external sales of services was the Construction sector, with 32.4% (£2.1 billion) of external sales of services. The Construction sector saw an increase in external sales of services over the year, increasing by £0.3 billion over the year (17.7%).

Manufacturing saw the next largest proportion of the external sale of services with 7.3% (£481 million) of such sales in 2020. The Manufacturing sector decreased in external sales of services over the year, by 6.8% (£35 million). The Other Production & Agriculture section represented just 0.6% (£36 million) of external sales of services in 2020, and saw a decrease (£56 million or 60.5%) over the year, although this change is based on a relatively low level of sales.

 

Figure 10: Proportion of external sales of goods and services by industry section, 2020

   

3 Summary and Commentary - Imports

 

Imports from Ireland, the Rest of the EU and the Rest of the World had a combined worth of £7.1 billion in 2020. When combined with purchases from GB (£13.2 billion) and purchases within NI (£23.1 billion), this equates to total purchases by companies in NI estimated to be worth £43.7 billion in 2020.

 

Table 1: Purchases and Imports from Trade Partners Split by Goods and Services: 2020 (£ millions)*

Trade Partner Total Purchases Total Purchases of Goods Total Purchases of Services
Total Purchases 43,369 33,582 9,787
NI Purchases 23,065 16,730 6,335
GB Purchases 13,204 10,588 2,616
IE Imports 2,778 2,456 322
REU Imports 2,281 2,048 233
ROW Imports 2,040 1,760 280
Total Imports 7,099 6,264 835

* Figures may not sum due to rounding.

 

Total Purchases

Total purchases by companies in NI (£43.7 billion) in 2020 comprised purchases of goods estimated to be worth £33.6 billion and purchases of services estimated to be worth £9.8 billion.

Total purchases of goods (£33.6 billion) equates to 77.4% of total purchases and decreased by 9.1% (£3.3 billion) over the year in 2020. This compares to a previous annual increase of 4.4% in 2019.

Total purchases of services (£9.8 billion) represents 22.6% of total purchases and increased by 0.8% over the year (£0.1 billion), compared to a decrease of 9.5% the previous year.

The largest market for purchases of both goods and services is NI, which accounted for 53.2% (£23.1 billion) of all purchases. The next largest market is GB which represents 30.4% (£13.2 billion) of all purchases in 2020.

Purchases of goods within NI (£16.7 billion) represents 49.8% of all purchases of goods with the next largest market being GB representing 31.5% (£10.6 billion) of all goods purchased. Similarly for services, NI is the largest market followed by GB representing 64.7% (£6.3 billion) and 26.7% (£2.6 billion) of total purchases of services respectively.


Imports

Imports were estimated to be worth £7.1 billion in 2020, a decrease of 6.5% (£0.5 billion) over the year. Of which, imports of goods were estimated to be worth £6.3 billion in 2020 (88.2% of all imports). Imports of services were estimated to be worth £0.8 billion representing 11.8% of total imports in 2020.

The profile of the total purchases and imports is broken down in Figure 11 below which shows the origin of the purchases of goods and services and how they contribute to the overall purchases value of £43.7 billion in 2020. Figure 11 presents the time series of how purchases from the various origins have changed over time, whilst Figure 12 provides details of the time series and split of goods and services purchases from NI, GB, IE, REU and ROW.

 

Figure 11: Purchases and Imports of Goods and Services by Trade Partner, 2020 (£ billions)

Figure 12 shows that the decrease in total purchases over the year of 7.0% (£3.3 billion) was driven by the decrease in purchases within NI of £2.5 billion, the decrease of imports from REU (£0.3 billion), imports from ROW (£0.2 billion) and a decrease in purchases from GB (£0.3 billion).The decrease in imports from IE was modest (£26 million).

 

Figure 12: Purchases and Imports from Trade Partners: 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)*

* Data for NI and GB purchases are only available from survey year 2013 onwards

 


The time-series shows that total purchases have increased by 15.1%, from £40.3 billion in 2011 to £46.6 billion in 2019. Purchases then fell to £43.4 billion in 2020. The decrease in 2020 is the largest in survey history and the vast majority of businesses reported that this was as a result of the impact of COVID-19 on business operations.

Despite the long-term pattern of growth, there have been periodic annual decreases in total purchases in 2012 (0.5%), 2015 (0.7%), 2016 (1.2%) and, of course, 2020 (7.0%).

Figure 13 below shows that the vast majority of purchases are purchases of goods, no matter the trade partner. Total purchases of goods represented 77.4% of total purchases in 2020 and were estimated to be worth £33.6 billion.

Larger amounts of services tend to be bought from partners closer to NI compared to more distant partners, with the largest value of services actually bought from within NI.

 

Figure 13: Purchases and Imports split by goods and services: 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)*

* Data for NI and GB purchases are only available from survey year 2013 onwards

   

4 Summary and Commentary - Trade Balance

 

4.1 Trade Balance Performance

Table 2 below shows imports and exports of goods and services as well as the balance of trade for each. In 2020, exports of goods and services combined were worth £10.3 billion, while imports were worth £7.1 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of £3.2 billion.

Exports of goods were worth £7.9 billion, with imports of goods worth £6.3 billion, resulting in a surplus of £1.7 billion.

Exports of services were worth £2.3 billion, with imports worth £0.8 billion, resulting in a surplus of £1.5 billion.

 

Table 2: Exports, Imports and Trade Balance Split by Goods and Services: 2020 (£ billions)* 3

Sales Type Exports Imports Trade Balance (Exports - Imports)
ALL 10.3 7.1 3.2
Goods 7.9 6.3 1.7
Services 2.3 0.8 1.5

* Figures may not sum due to rounding
3 Note that this excludes trade with GB

 

4.2 Trade in Goods and Services over Time

Figure 14 below shows a time-series for the imports and exports of both goods and services. It is clear that the exports of goods and exports of services have consistently been greater than their import equivalent, thus the balance of trade has remained positive for each year on survey record.

 

Figure 14: Imports and Exports of goods and services: 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)

 

4.3 Trade Balance over Time

Figure 15 below shows the time-series for the value of exports, the value of imports and the value of the trade balance for goods and services combined. Exports have always been greater than imports and hence the trade balance has always been positive.

 

Figure 15: Exports, Imports and Trade Balance: 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)

 

Figure 16 below shows the time-series for the trade balance of goods; services and goods and services combined. For all three categories, the trade balance has remained positive every year, indicating that exports have always been greater than imports (i.e. a trade surplus).

With the exception of a spike in 2013, the trade balance for goods and services combined and goods only trended downwards from 2011 – 2016. From 2016 onwards, both balances increased consistently until survey year 2020, where the vast majority of businesses reported that the downturn in trade in 2020 was as a result of the impact of COVID-19 on business operations. The balance of services trade was relatively flat from 2011 – 2015, but has consistently increased from then, again with the exception of 2020.

 

Figure 16: Trade Balance of Goods and Services: 2011 – 2020 (£ billions)

 

4.4 Trade Balance by Industry

Figure 17 below shows the trade balance of goods and services combined by industry section for 2020. The vast majority of industries were net exporters, with section C (Manufacturing) having the largest trade balance (£3.3 billion). Three industries were net importers: section B (Mining and Quarrying); section I (Accommodation and Food Services) and section G (Wholesale and Retail Trade). Section G was the largest net importer with a trade balance of -£1.3 billion.

 

Figure 17: Trade Balance by Industry Section: 2020 (£ millions)

 

4.5 Other Balance of Trade Estimates

While trade balance usually refers to the difference between exports and imports, it is possible to derive a balance of trade for any domain of interest for which for both sales and purchases data exist.

Figure 18 below shows the balance of trade for Northern Ireland’s principal trade partners. Total sales massively outweigh total purchases, with a difference of £23.7 billion. This is mainly driven by NI trade where sales are worth £45.9 billion and purchases are worth £23.1 billion, resulting in a surplus of £22.8 billion. NI has a trade surplus with IE of £1.3 billion and with ROW (£2.0 billion), and a trade deficit with GB of £2.3 billion and REU (£0.1 billion).

Figure 18: Trade and Balance of Trade by Trade Partner: 2020 (£ billions)

   

5 Index of Tables - Sales/Exports: 2011 - 2020

Table 1.1 Annual Series Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations and annual change, 2011 - 2020 (£m)
Table 1.2 Annual Series Total sales of goods and services by industry sector, 2011 - 2020 (£m)
Table 1.3 Annual Series Exports of goods and services by industry sector, 2011 - 2020 (£m)
Table 1.4 Annual Series External sales of goods and services by broad industry sector, 2011 - 2020 (£m)


The tables below include annual estimates with associated quality indicators (confidence intervals and coefficient of variation)


Table 2.1 2020 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 2.2 2020 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 2.3 2020 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 3.1 2019 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 3.2 2019 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 3.3 2019 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 4.1 2018 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 4.2 2018 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 4.3 2018 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 5.1 2017 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 5.2 2017 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 5.3 2017 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 6.1 2016 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 6.2 2016 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 6.3 2016 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 7.1 2015 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 7.2 2015 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 7.3 2015 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 8.1 2014 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 8.2 2014 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 8.3 2014 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 9.1 2013 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 9.2 2013 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 9.3 2013 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 10.1 2012 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 10.2 2012 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 10.3 2012 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 11.1 2011 Sales & exports of goods and services to broad destinations
Table 11.2 2011 Total sales of goods and services by industry sector
Table 11.3 2011 Exports of goods and services by industry sector
 

   

6 Index of Tables - Purchases/Imports: 2011 - 2020

Table 1.1 Annual Series Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners and annual change, 2011 - 2020 (£m)
Table 1.2 Annual Series Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector, 2011 - 2020 (£m)
Table 1.3 Annual Series Imports of goods and services by industry sector, 2011 - 2020 (£m)


The tables below include annual estimates with associated quality indicators (confidence intervals and coefficient of variation)


Table 2.1 2020 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 2.2 2020 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 2.3 2020 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 3.1 2019 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 3.2 2019 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 3.3 2019 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 4.1 2018 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 4.2 2018 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 4.3 2018 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 5.1 2017 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 5.2 2017 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 5.3 2017 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 6.1 2016 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 6.2 2016 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 6.3 2016 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 7.1 2015 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 7.2 2015 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 7.3 2015 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 8.1 2014 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 8.2 2014 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 8.3 2014 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 9.1 2013 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 9.2 2013 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 9.3 2013 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 10.1 2012 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 10.2 2012 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 10.3 2012 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
Table 11.1 2011 Purchases & imports of goods and services from trade partners
Table 11.2 2011 Total purchases of goods and services by industry sector
Table 11.3 2011 Imports of goods and services by industry sector
 

   

7 Background Notes

   

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